Recorder: Olivia Kelly, Ann Davis and Paul Davis Distance : 2682m Walk Time 1hr
Potteric Carr is a remnant of the vast fenland that once stretched all the way across the Humber basin to the coast now refered to as the Humberhead. A mosaic of habitats, from reedbeds to winding woodland trails and networks of ponds. During summer, the meadows are full of butterflies.
S1-S11 are mostly wet woodland dominated by Birch, Alder, Oak and Sallows and counts are low and fairly typical shady grassland.
S5 stood out with the highest counts and the home of Orange tips
S12-S14 around the visitor centre are open and S12 bank is particulalry blessed with wildflowers and sees Common Blue, Comma, Peacock and Orange Tip do appear.
Countywide, after a warm winter April turned cold, very wet and dull and everything just about stopped and it was near impossible to transect walk all month. By May there were already losses among our spring species being down a third in numbers. June brought Arctic winds, a complete reversal of the Hot June of 2023 when nine species reached all time highs here and across the UK. For the first two weeks of this June temperatures were 8’C cooler than in 2023 around a frigid 9’C with only 5 good days of sun at the end of the month. The first three weeks of July had the same theme of cool and damp with 5 warm sunny days at the end. Transect walking for many was very difficult. The persistence of the cold and damp over such a long period had a devastating effect with numerically two thirds of our butterflies in the critical later stages of their development; mortality was very high. It was also one of the longest June ‘Lulls’ lasting from late May to the beginning of July. When the main flight season did arrive it was slow to build up and there was no usual peak. Better weather in August helped save the second generation and very unusually numbers actually went up at the start of September.
Losers
For many species it was a triple whammy after the heat and droughts of the previous 2 years and last July’s poor flight period this year made it a perfect storm. Overall, annual numbers were down 41% against the average and 45% down on last year. Half our species were down more than 50% and a quarter down more than 70%. The Lycaenids, Vannesids and the Fritillaries were amongst the worst affected. Many transect walkers did not see a single Common Blue, Small Copper, Holly Blue, or Brown Argus until late into their 2nd broods.. Four of our long term declining species Common Blue, Small Heath, Small Skipper and Green-veined White had their worst year ever recorded.
The Winners and less bad losers
Northern Brown Argus had an exceptional year up near 50% Other species bucking the trend were Brimstone and Marbled White. The damp loving Ringlet on many limestone/dry sites were up a half while on most wet sites they fell by a half. However if it wasn’t for Ringlet holding up the overall numerical losses, this year would have been significantly worse. It often happens when Meadow Brown has a very poor year, like this one, Ringlet does proportionally better, and vice versa in a warm year.
It has all happened before… many times.
It was our worst year since 2016 but nearly as bad as 2009 when numbers were down 50%. 2024 comes after a run of 6 relatively good years since 2018 along with rapidly rising temperatures including 2 of our hottest summers which were followed by two of our best butterfly years in 2019 and 2023. It is likely 2024 was a blip
Potteric Carr did rather better than the county average Interestingly Gatekeeper did better here while pretty universally it did worse everywhere else. Gatekeeper and the fact that Speckled wood numbers held up helped to minimise the overall losses. Peacock also held up well . Two years of zero Tortoiseshell is worrying but not unusual and elsewhere is only being seen as individuals apart from at higher altitudes. Nice to see Silver-washed have a good year here as most locations it suffered.
County wide 2023 results reflect the 2022 Heat and drought with Small Tortoiseshell and Peacock nearly halved for the second year against their 5 year average. Red Admiral arrived in force in July and took advantage of soft nettle growth of the rains and had their best year ever. Drought sensitive species on thin soils were badly hit, particularly Dark -green Fritillary and Northern Brown Argus but also Ringlet, Green-viened White and Small Heath. Less drought affected species along with the hottest June on record built even more on gains last year leading to Comma, Brimstone, Holly Blue and most Browns having a fantastic year reaching all time highs. A increase of 9% overall was mostly due to sheer numbers of Meadow Browns and Gatekeepers ment 2023 nearly pipped 2014 as best year in modern times. Most noticeable was the large differeces between moisiture retaining mineral soils of the valleys and thin, dry limestone or sandy soils. A large number of damp grassland, hedgerow and woodland dominated sites benefitted hugely with 3 sites seeing more than 50% increase . A smaller number of thin, chalky, sandy or craggy sites did badly some down up to 25%.
Potteric like other wooded sites on the Humberhead had a really good year. The site closely follws the county trends but here the only significant numerical loser being Ringlet. Much of the gains, as elsewhere, were with Gatekeeper and Meadow Brown both of which doubled ! Speckled Wood, Brimstone and Comma also doubled all these specie sbuilt on a good year last year. Dark-green Fritillary was seen for the first time this year. Not a single Small Tortoiseshell was seen and this is not that uncommon in the south of the county
2022 sees this shady grassland/wooded wetland significantly increase in numbers by 20% and on many species compared to 2021. Most significant and folowing the county trends Brimstone is up and the damp loving Green viened White somewhat down. Also amongst the vanessids the site follows county trends with Red Admiral up and a disaster with Peacock and the second generatiom Small Tortoiseshell. Comma in line with almost all sites bounced back with a cracking first generation of hutchinsoni and 3 times the number of last year. It nice to see Silver-washed Fritillary in this a dispersal year for this species.. but will it stay? There is most certainly a colony close by likely the limestone ridge but if there are violets it wil stay. All the Browns had a good year in line with most locations enjoying the warm June speeding their development particularly Gatekeeper boomed.
Surveys were not undertaken in 2020 due to lack of resources during the pandemic. In 2021 the route was expanded to cover existing woodland trails but still covering much of the older route represented by S11-14 in the new route which are much more open grasslands
The biggest changes mostly because of teh route change to woodland are large of Speckled Woods, Ringlets and Gatekeeper . Thelater appeared absent previously. It good to see Common Blue numbers up in the older transect and tortoiseshel numbers well up